The resignation of Nepal’s Prime Minister K.P. Sharma Oli on September 9, 2025, has triggered speculation about whether external powers, particularly India, had any role in the crisis. While such theories often surface during times of instability in Nepal, available evidence suggests that the unrest was primarily a result of domestic issues rather than foreign interference.
A Homegrown Movement
The protests that led to Oli’s downfall were fueled by anger over a sudden social media ban, rising corruption, and widespread frustration with economic inequality. Thousands of young people took to the streets, demanding reforms and accountability. These demonstrations were organized at the grassroots level, and their intensity reflected long-standing public dissatisfaction with political leadership.
India’s Influence in Nepal
India has historically played a significant role in Nepal’s politics due to close cultural, economic, and geographic ties. This influence has often led to suspicions whenever major political changes occur in Kathmandu. However, in the current situation, there has been no credible indication that New Delhi orchestrated or fueled the protests.
Speculation vs. Reality
While some voices have suggested that India may indirectly benefit from Oli’s departure—given his sometimes tense relationship with New Delhi—the evidence points overwhelmingly to a domestic uprising. The crisis appears to be less about international rivalry and more about the growing disconnect between Nepal’s leaders and its people.
Looking Ahead
Nepal’s political future now depends on how its leaders respond to demands for accountability and reform. Although India, China, and other regional players will closely watch developments, the current turmoil is largely an outcome of Nepal’s internal struggles, not external manipulation.